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Can China Make Peace in Ukraine? Macron Isn’t Saying No.
The conflict in Ukraine has been ongoing for more than six years, with no end in sight. It has caused the death of more than 13,000 people, displaced over 1.5 million, and brought the relations between Russia and the West to an all-time low. Numerous diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis have failed, leaving both sides entrenched in their positions, with no willingness to compromise.
Recently, however, there has been a glimmer of hope. French President Emmanuel Macron has suggested that China could play a role in bringing peace to Ukraine. While this may seem like an unlikely proposition, there are several reasons why it may be worth considering.
Firstly, China has a history of effective diplomacy. Over the last few decades, China has become one of the world’s most influential powers, in part due to its skillful use of soft power. One of China’s greatest strengths is its ability to engage with other countries through trade and investment, building relationships that are based on mutual interest and respect. This approach could be particularly effective in Ukraine, where there is a strong desire for economic cooperation and investment, particularly in infrastructure.
Secondly, China has good relations with both Russia and the West. This is a crucial factor when it comes to resolving the conflict in Ukraine. Both sides have accused the other of being responsible for the violence, and there is a profound lack of trust between them. However, China has warm relations with both Russia and the West, and could potentially act as a mediator between them.
Thirdly, China has a strong interest in maintaining global stability. One of the main reasons why China has become such a dominant power is because of its focus on economic and political stability. China has a lot to lose if the global order breaks down, both in terms of its internal stability and its ability to project power abroad. Given that the Ukraine crisis has the potential to destabilize the region and cause a wider conflict, it is in China’s best interest to help resolve the issue.
However, it is also worth noting that there are significant challenges to China’s involvement in Ukraine. For one thing, China has traditionally shied away from getting involved in other countries’ internal affairs. This is in part because of its own history of colonization and intervention, but also because it is wary of being seen as a global policeman. China’s reluctance to get involved in the crisis in Syria is a case in point, even as Russia and the West continue to bomb the country into oblivion.
In addition, China has little experience in dealing with conflicts on the scale of the Ukraine crisis. While it has been involved in peacekeeping efforts in other parts of the world, such as South Sudan and Darfur, those conflicts have been significantly smaller than the one in Ukraine. It remains to be seen whether China has the expertise and resources to contribute meaningfully to resolving the crisis.
Despite these challenges, there are reasons to be cautiously optimistic about China’s involvement in Ukraine. Macron’s suggestion has already sparked interest in the issue and opened up new avenues for negotiation. If China is willing to take on a more active role in resolving the conflict, it could provide a valuable new perspective and diplomatic approach to the issue.
Ultimately, the question of whether China can make peace in Ukraine remains unanswered. However, the fact that Macron has raised the possibility is an indication that the global community is finally starting to take this crisis seriously. If China can help to bring the parties together and find a compromise that works for everyone, it would be a significant step towards a more peaceful world.